• The Oilers and OZ Faceoff Losses, 2013-14

    by Tyler Dellow • April 24, 2014 • 0 Comments

    As I poke around in the data from this past season, I’m coming across all sorts of interesting things. One of them is with the Oilers and what happens after they lose an OZ faceoff at 5v5. You can see that they actually started the season really well – they were touching 60% through...

    Read more →

    Evolution? OZ Faceoff Losses in 2013-14

    by Tyler Dellow • April 23, 2014 • 1 Comment

    I’ve been prattling on for a while about Bruce Boudreau’s team, how they play following offensive zone faceoff losses and the fine results that they achieve. I was doing my year-end totting up of the data and I happened across something interesting. Start at the beginning. I classify shot attempts depending on when the...

    Read more →

    Colorado at Minnesota: The Dismantling

    by Tyler Dellow • April 22, 2014 • 1 Comment

    I’m missing a lot of the Chicago-St. Louis series because there always seems to be something compelling on going while they play. Last night it was Colorado going in to Minnesota and getting torn apart in a game that wasn’t nearly as close as Minnesota’s 1-0 OT win would suggest. It’s no secret that...

    Read more →

    Thirteen Seconds

    by Tyler Dellow • April 22, 2014 • 5 Comments

    I think that Dion Phaneuf is a good defenceman. I don’t think he’s quite in the NHL’s elite but I’d put him in the group right below that. There was a time when he was talked about as being the Next Big Thing, which I suspect kind of irritated a lot of people –...

    Read more →

    Where Columbus Got Better

    by Tyler Dellow • April 21, 2014 • 5 Comments

    One of the great things about Twitter (which has some serious downsides) is that if you follow the right people, it’s kind of like watching the playoffs with a bunch of smart people. I was watching the Jackets-Pens game tonight and commented that I’d expected, early in the season, that Todd Richards would be...

    Read more →

    Boudreau and Turning Corsi% Into Goal For%

    by Tyler Dellow • April 20, 2014 • 6 Comments

    I just want to wrap up my fixation on Boudreau and offensive zone faceoff losses, which I’ve discussed (in order) here, here and here. It occurred to me that I should probably discuss the goals for/against. Nobody who pays attention to Corsi cares about it for abstract reasons. They care about it because Corsi...

    Read more →

    A Quick Look at Leafs/Ducks OZ Faceoff Losses

    by Tyler Dellow • April 19, 2014 • 14 Comments

    If you read this blog with any regularity, you know that I’ve recently been puzzling over why Bruce Boudreau’s teams are so good after they lose offensive zone faceoffs. The NHL average Corsi% in those situations is about 54%; Boudreau’s teams routinely post numbers in the mid to high 60s. My suspicion is that...

    Read more →

    Luke Gazdic and DZ Faceoff Losses

    by Tyler Dellow • April 19, 2014 • 11 Comments

    Last year I outlined how I break things at 5v5 into pieces following faceoffs depending on location and whether they were won or lost. For defensive zone faceoff losses, it’s 37 seconds – that’s how long it takes for the effect of a defensive zone faceoff loss to wash out of the data. I...

    Read more →

    Boudreau: Offensive Zone Faceoff Loss Witch

    by Tyler Dellow • April 16, 2014 • 8 Comments

    I wrote a couple of days ago about Bruce Boudreau and the fantastic results that his teams achieve following 5v5 offensive zone faceoff losses. Here’s the key paragraph: Basically, every Boudreau team is above average after losing offensive zone faceoffs – most are well above average – until Defence Wins Boudreau comes to town....

    Read more →

    Smyth and Yakupov

    by Tyler Dellow • April 15, 2014 • 2 Comments

    I don’t really have too much to say about Ryan Smyth retiring. I’ve said a lot about him over the years and I thought he was a great player and a great Oiler. I’m not sure I have anything new to add on that front. It was a very cool scene, one of the...

    Read more →

    The Carlyle Effect

    by Tyler Dellow • April 14, 2014 • 9 Comments

    One of the biggest changes in my views as I’ve gotten deeper into looking at hockey through a number lens is my belief in the impact of coaching. I was initially a skeptic on the value of coaching. I still am, to a degree. In many cases, I think that that which we attribute...

    Read more →