• Boudreau and Turning Corsi% Into Goal For%

    by Tyler Dellow • April 20, 2014 • 3 Comments

    I just want to wrap up my fixation on Boudreau and offensive zone faceoff losses, which I’ve discussed (in order) here, here and here. It occurred to me that I should probably discuss the goals for/against. Nobody who pays attention to Corsi cares about it for abstract reasons. They care about it because Corsi...

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    A Quick Look at Leafs/Ducks OZ Faceoff Losses

    by Tyler Dellow • April 19, 2014 • 11 Comments

    If you read this blog with any regularity, you know that I’ve recently been puzzling over why Bruce Boudreau’s teams are so good after they lose offensive zone faceoffs. The NHL average Corsi% in those situations is about 54%; Boudreau’s teams routinely post numbers in the mid to high 60s. My suspicion is that...

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    Luke Gazdic and DZ Faceoff Losses

    by Tyler Dellow • April 19, 2014 • 9 Comments

    Last year I outlined how I break things at 5v5 into pieces following faceoffs depending on location and whether they were won or lost. For defensive zone faceoff losses, it’s 37 seconds – that’s how long it takes for the effect of a defensive zone faceoff loss to wash out of the data. I...

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    Boudreau: Offensive Zone Faceoff Loss Witch

    by Tyler Dellow • April 16, 2014 • 8 Comments

    I wrote a couple of days ago about Bruce Boudreau and the fantastic results that his teams achieve following 5v5 offensive zone faceoff losses. Here’s the key paragraph: Basically, every Boudreau team is above average after losing offensive zone faceoffs – most are well above average – until Defence Wins Boudreau comes to town....

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    Smyth and Yakupov

    by Tyler Dellow • April 15, 2014 • 2 Comments

    I don’t really have too much to say about Ryan Smyth retiring. I’ve said a lot about him over the years and I thought he was a great player and a great Oiler. I’m not sure I have anything new to add on that front. It was a very cool scene, one of the...

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    The Carlyle Effect

    by Tyler Dellow • April 14, 2014 • 9 Comments

    One of the biggest changes in my views as I’ve gotten deeper into looking at hockey through a number lens is my belief in the impact of coaching. I was initially a skeptic on the value of coaching. I still am, to a degree. In many cases, I think that that which we attribute...

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    Bruce Boudreau and Offensive Zone Faceoff Losses

    by Tyler Dellow • April 13, 2014 • 8 Comments

    One of the best pieces of data driven hockey journalism that I’ve ever read is J.P’s “When Everything Changed…And If It Needed To.” He discusses, with reference to data, how the Bruce Boudreau’s decision to implement the trap was a disaster for the Capitals. As it so happens, I don’t think Boudreau gets enough...

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    Solving The Clarkson Mystery

    by Tyler Dellow • April 10, 2014 • 10 Comments

    As I’ve written here previously (and at Sportsnet today: please click the link and purchase something from the advertisers), there’s something bizarre about David Clarkson’s terrible, no-good season. It isn’t just that his shot volume is down – that’s something we should have expected, given that he was going from a great possession team...

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    The Big Mistake

    by Tyler Dellow • April 9, 2014 • 20 Comments

    If someone asked me what I think the biggest failing of the eyeball test is, I’d respond that it’s the emphasis on the big mistake. There are gigabytes of information contained in a hockey game. So much information that I think it’s difficult for anyone to take it in and organize it rationally. The...

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    Paul MacLean And Scoring Chances

    by Tyler Dellow • April 7, 2014 • 5 Comments

    There was an interesting note in Elliotte Friedman’s 30 Thoughts this week about the Ottawa Senators. 8. MacLean said last week the Senators gave up 11 chances per game last season, and are up to 18 a night in 2013-14. That’s tough on your goalies. The organization is concerned with repeated mistakes and with...

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    Will Claude Noel Cost Daryl Katz $2MM?

    by Tyler Dellow • April 6, 2014 • 10 Comments

    Given that I’m a little more skeptical about Justin Schultz than most, I’ve greatly enjoyed his runs at bonuses over the past two seasons. The NHL’s collectively bargained bonus system is the second biggest mess in the CBA after the arbitration section. As a result of this (as well as Winnipeg’s weird hate-on for...

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