The reasons for Judge Baum’s rejection of Jim Balsillie’s offer to buy the Phoenix Coyotes is available online. Looking at some of the early stories, it seems to me that the story in Canada is probably going to be that the Coyotes will not be playing in Hamilton next year. That looks to be true. There are a lot of interesting pieces in the decision though. Like this, on the NHL’s right to approve Balsillie as an owner:

“Significant to the court here regarding the objection to the transfer of the ownership to the Phoenix Coyotes is the fact that in 2006 the NHL approved PSE to become a member of the NHL. The court has the firm sense that if the only issue here was PSE purchasing the Phoenix Coyotes [no relocation term] there would be no objection from the NHL. The law implies in every contract a convenant of good faith and fair dealing. Even where one party retains, by virtue of the contract, a right of approval or disapproval or a discretionary power over the right of the other, such parameters must be exercised within the parameters of good faith.”

PSE is Balsillie’s corporate alter-ego here. Reading between the lines, that reads to me like a pretty strong statement that the judge wouldn’t be convinced by any arguments that the NHL doesn’t like Balsillie as an owner, if a dispute ended up in front of him about it.

Interestingly, the judge also strongly indicated that he doesn’t really buy that team movement wreaks havoc on sports leagues. Given that that wasn’t really necessary to his decision - he explicitly refused to address a number of other issues that were obiter - I would take that, in conjunction with his comments about fair dealing, that if he’s required down the road to consider the question of whether the NHL is acting reasonably in refusing permission for the team to be moved, they’d be wise not to rest their argument on that point.

It’s not at all clear to me what happens from here. The key question, I think, is whether a bankruptcy process goes on or if the team is now out of bankruptcy and someone else - the NHL, I would assume, given that they have proxies giving them control of the team - controls the process. I’m reasonably certain that it’s still a bankruptcy process - as I understand things, the NHL agreed that the team should be dealt with there a while back. Bill Daly has released a statement saying:

“We’re pleased the Court recognized the validity of League rules and our ability to apply them in a reasonable fashion. We will turn our attention now toward helping to facilitate an orderly sales process that will produce a local buyer who is committed to making the Coyotes’ franchise viable and successful in the Phoenix/Glendale area. We are confident that we will be able to find such a buyer for the Coyotes and that the claims of legitimate creditors will be addressed.”

I don’t see the decision as such a ringing success as Daly does, given that the judge has basically said that Balsillie can’t be held out as an owner. If they can’t hold him out and the judge won’t let the NHL stick Balsillie with a term requiring a seven year commitment to Phoenix, I don’t see that they necessarily gained much by beating Balsillie back.

Looking over things quickly, I’m not sure what Daly takes from the decision as providing for an “…an orderly sales process that will produce a local buyer who is committed to making the Coyotes’ franchise viable and successful in the Phoenix/Glendale area.” I’m with him that there will be an orderly sales process and that the judge didn’t like the timeline on Balsillie’s offer. Everything after that, I think, requires taking a pretty rose coloured view of the world.

The reference to legitimate creditors is interesting. If I was guessing what the next step for the NHL will be (assuming that this is done in the context of a bankruptcy), I’d guess that they’re going to try and convince the judge that the debt owed to Moyes is bogus and that an offer satisfying the other creditors and not resulting in the lease being broken (or broken anymore than Glendale will offer to whoever the NHL comes up with) is the preferable approach.

From Balsillie’s side:

“The court did not approve either our approach or the NHL’s. Judge Baum did state he does not have time to decide all the relocation issues. But the court still controls the sale process. As a result, we look forward to hearing from the NHL soon on its view of our relocation application and an appropriate relocation fee, so as to allow the court to determine if that fee is reasonable. We still think there is enough time for the NHL to approve Mr. Balsillie’s application and move the team to Hamilton by September. The court invited mediation on these issues and Mr. Balsillie is willing to participate in such mediation if the NHL is also willing to do so.”

“I am willing to write you a large cheque to play hockey in Hamilton.”

What happens next? I’ve had about thirty minutes to consider this, and I would predict the following:

1. Balsillie will be approved for the purposes of bidding for ownership of the team;
2. The NHL will reject his relocation application;
3. The NHL is going to come up with someone who will pay enough to satisfy all of the creditors except Moyes, possibly because Glendale is going to offer various subsidies/breaks on the lease; and
4. The NHL is going to try to convince the judge that Moyes isn’t really a creditor.

All of this, of course, comes with the caveat that bankruptcy isn’t my field and I’m not an American lawyer. If you’re planning a hostile takeover of an NHL team, you should consult counsel who are qualified in the appropriate areas.