Maybe I’ll get my Cup Finals prediction up before that starts but for now, I’m struggling with the timeliness of the whole thing. 7-1 in round one, if you believe the comment that I dropped in Dennis’ post four days after it started about what my predictions would have been. On to round two…
Buffalo v. New York: I’m somewhat surprised that anybody really thinks that this might be close. The Rangers were in a horrible division and got a fantastic draw for the first round. Matt makes the point at BoA that the Sabres and Rangers put up the same number of points over their final 42 games. Worthy of note, to be sure, but the Sabres were also riddled by injury during that time, if I recall correctly. That said, I’ve looked at their GD for that period and it’s comparable. As I recall, Buffalo had a shooting percentage that bordered on ludicrous for the first part of the season; my guess is that that wore off. Much as I think that the Rangers blow, I’m willing to concede that this series may well be closer than it appears. Buffalo in six - eat it, Dave Hodge.
Ottawa v. New Jersey: ESPN’s hockey guy, John Buccigross writes a column on ESPN.com that I read, for reasons I can never recall once I start. There’s a famous anecdote about Winston Churchill (I think) where he cuts himself shaving or something and lets out a stream of profanity. His wife is appalled and repeats what he just said in an attempt to shame him. He replies “My dear, you’ve got the words but the tune is all wrong.” That’s what I always think reading Buccigross - the guy clearly loves hockey but his writing is just so inconsistent with the way people write about hockey that I can’t get around. Plus, he writes things like:
“New Jersey is an experienced team with multiple scoring lines.”
Really? They outscored the Oilers by all of 14 goals. They’re barely better than the Vaunt, in a year from hell. Also, they play in the Eastern Conference (sucks), in the Atlantic Division (sucks) and nobody out there feigns the slightest interest in defence. Personally, I think that they’re a bad offensive team, although their scoring numbers would be expected to be lower, given that they don’t seem to take or draw penalties, as they haven’t for the past 15 years. I can’t decide whether that’s by design or by officials just wanting to get the hell out of New Jersey as quickly as possible but in any event, “multiple scoring lines” is really pushing things. Ottawa will eat them alive. Sens in six - again, eat it Dave Hodge - due to home ice resting with the Devils.
Vancouver v. Anaheim: Ducks in five.
San Jose v. Detroit: The only series where I don’t see a clear fire favourite. I think it comes down to this: if Detroit can handle San Jose’s PP, Detroit wins. If not, the Sharks win. That was the Oilers recipe last year and I figure it will be same. San Jose is, in a lot of ways, the team that Calgary thinks they are and, given that the pundit consensus was that Calgary may well upset Detroit, I’m going to give San Jose the nod here. San Jose in seven.